CPC: 32% (-6)
Lib: 30% (+4)
NDP: 20% (+2)
Bloc: 9% (-1)
Green: 10% (+3)
* - (change from election results)
** - numbers do not add to 100 due to rounding
- Are the voters having buyers' remorse? Unlikely for reasons explained below, but we'll know better when the next poll is done in December.
- Check out the "Western Support"...CPC (52% ---> 38%) and Lib (16% ---> 27%)...Anyone want to bet a quarter that these are accurate reflections of voter preference in the west? The lion's share of the swing comes from this column and does anyone feel that Michael Ignatieff, Bob Rae or Dominic LeBlanc will be able to grow Liberal fortunes in the West? Maybe a little, but by that much?
- (Though it wouldn't surprise me in the least if there are a few Tories like myself who are annoyed at the deficit talk by the Tories, so maybe, just maybe, a few of the points are an accurate swing.)
- Ontario is also kinda interesting as well, and it's nothing but spin coming from Kinsella
when he writes that the Nanos poll bodes well for "Prime Minister Ignatieff". CPC (36% ---> 39%) and Lib (36% ---> 34%). The road back to a Liberal minority goes through Ontario and they'll need much stronger numbers than these to do it. (They cannot get a majority in the foreseeable future.)
- The Liberals are going to poll a point or two higher than their actual support between now and their leadership race. So long as "anyone" can be leading them into the next election, people will project their preferred leadership candidate into that spot. Once a leader is set in place, their number will settle back to their actual polling position.
- "We now return you to regularly scheduled Green Party non-election support already in progress."