Saturday, September 29

Dear Blue Bombers,

The radio guys are saying that there are 27,000 plus fans in the stands at the game right now.  This for a 2-10 Hamilton team that came to town about three months ago.  Do you really think that it was necessary to keep the television blackout in place for the city?  You don't think that the goodwill would have been appreciated by the fans?

Just wondering while listening to CJOB,

The Hack

Ontario Election

Been invited to a Ontario Election party on the 10th and would like some actual information about the campaign to take with me. Besides John Tory once again proving the maxim that "The 'Winning' Leadership Candidate Rarely Does", the hypocrisy of the school board funding issue, and Dalton being shameless in his lack of leadership [see a couple of posts below], I honestly have no idea what's going on there. One thing is for sure, watching Warren Kinsella regularly and spectacularly demolish the Tories has been impressive. He's showing the power of a well-read and established partisan blog.

The referendum on the electoral system is at least a little bit interesting, I guess. (For the record, proportional representation scares me in a country as vast in cultures as it is in land and regions.)

Anyone with some cool insights into the election are strongly encouraged to post them so I can poach them and pass 'em off as my own. Something really insider-ish would be warmly received at the ole email.

Mayhaps The Good Doctor Requires A Refreshing On The Meaning Of Murder - It's Not Like He Plays A Role In Creating Canadian Laws....Oh Damn.

"I think there's very little chance that Mr. Clement will extend the safe injection site's permit to continue," says Dr. Keith Martin, a British Columbia Liberal MP and former substance-abuse physician.

"But in doing that they will be essentially committing murder."

Now I'm firmly entrenched on the fence when it comes to safe-injection sites. I've seen some compelling evidence suggesting they work, saving lives and occasionally getting an addict into the treatment program they desperately need. I've also seen some compelling evidence suggest that they do nothing more than affirm the drug culture in the neighbourhood of the site, with that bringing the crime and poverty that rides shotgun with drug addiction.

So what is the correct answer?

I honestly do not know.

What I do know is that Dr. Martin has put himself into an intelligently dishonest argument with this statement. If the Liberal MP truly believes that the government is culpable of homicide should they choose to reject Insite's permit extension*, than shouldn't Dr. Martin be morally responsible to advocate for the opening of safe-injection sites in other Canadian cities? Heroin and crack addiction aren't solely the domain of Lotuslanders, right? If closing a clinic in Vancouver is murder to Dr. Martin, the non-existence of clinics cross-country must surely be genocide.

Perhaps Keith Martin does lobby for clinics in Halifax, Edmonton, Toronto and Winnipeg. If we're talking murder though, I would be curious to know just how extensive those lobby efforts would be. Has he spoken to his leader about making this a new Liberal policy? Has he begun working with groups and individuals in our cities to find sites and consider applying for licences?

Because in the end, we're talking about murder, right Keith? Better get your hands dirty and get down to work.

Or maybe you need to whip out a dictionary and tone down the rhetoric.



* - There is no doubt in my mind that the clinic's days are numbered.

Yo Dalton, You Chicken!

 
"Premier Dalton McGuinty has sent a letter to Prime Minister Stephen Harper demanding that one percentage point of the GST be given to Toronto and other Ontario cities faced with massive budget problems."

...Raise taxes.  Simple as that.

This goes for all provinces....When the federal government lowers the GST from 6% to 5% (while I hate cutting sales taxes, the Tories will follow thru on the promise), feel free to raise your own sales tax by 1%.  

(You might also want to consider harmonization with the GST at that time as well.  It's a smart policy and will generate a great deal of revenue.  Then cut business and income taxes.  Big time.)

(Trust me, those steps will do far more for your economy's prosperity than just getting a point of the GST.)
 
(Far more.)

Friday, September 28

I Work In Imports & I'm Just Itchin' For Any Excuse To Return To Vegas

Fly birdie fly!

This might also present the first opportunity for me to buy some Google stock.  I figure anything I invest today can sit for thirty or forty years and seeing how I believe Google will own us all by that time, could be a good change to get in on that action.

Hmmmm, wonder if I'll be getting a letter from Aikins....

....Like this Winnipeg blogger did(?). I'm know I've clipped Freep content before (though linked) and there's a few photos kicking around like that gem Hugh McFaddyn soccer shot from the election.

Subtle Change

I can't say I know this for a certainty, but I swear I heard the CBC calling Burma by the name "Myanmar" primarily during their coverage up until last night. I remember thinking to myself that it must be an editorial choice because the Canadian government does not recognize the name change.

Anyone know if I am recalling this stuff correctly?

Just Like The Jays 2007..."Low risk, lower reward."

So the first Tory budget results in a $13.8 billion surplus. Great.

Except that the Tories regularly hammered the Liberals for their surpluses. Yikes.

This is where the parties played absolutely to character and in very disappointing ways. I think Wells hit the nail on the head:

The Liberals used to run surpluses and the Conservatives used to yell blue murder. Now it's the other way around. Nothing, nothing, nothing has changed, except that now they both stand revealed as hypocrites. When I write things like that, people sometimes say I'm cynical. It confuses me. I wish the only parties with a reasonable chance of governing my country would not be so stunningly simple-minded when they argue. I don't know why that makes me the cynic.


Couldn't agree more. To begin with, very few Canadians give two hoots about governments running record surpluses. Sure, a few wonks have a legit beef with the circumstance, however most Canadians do not. It was a bad issue to make hay of in the first place.

So how should the Tories have handled it today?

1. By admitting they were wrong and acknowledging that the economy was running hotter than they expected and forces acted in ways hoped for while not expected.

2. By taking back some of the harshest criticism of the Liberal surpluses.

3. By using a couple of key Liberal surpluses to show that not all the criticism was unfair or unwarranted.

Wouldn't that have turned the story on its head? Instead of a typical The-Tories-Are-Hypocrites event, the narrative could have been about how dignified the Prime Minister looked taking back some previous bad criticisms, while also announcing another feel-good story (said surplus and the debt payment). It's not like pulling back from the position would help Dion - at this point, not much can - and I promise you that while it wouldn't be an overly large number of people, more voters would like Harper for taking a "fair" position rather than those who didn't vote Liberal because of the surpluses.

But that would take a gamble.

Wednesday, September 26

Stumbled Upon The Pilot Of "Dirty, Sexy Money" Tonight....

...And any show that introduces the heavies to Rage Against The Machine and has Peter Krause looking like he is having fun....Well, that's a show that gets me back next week.

Now hopefully tomorrow's "Big Shots" is just a as good and I'll be set for the new season.

"Dion believed his opponents in the leadership were in control of their teams. Another big mistake."

It was not the candidates that built their teams during the last Liberal leadership race; it was the other way around. Bob Rae, Michael Ignatieff and Gerard Kennedy were just icons co-opted by some groups to work their way back into the driver seat.
- Angelo Persichilli, Edmonton Sun
 
 
 
This is as solid an observation on the last Liberal leadership as I have yet to read.  While Ignatieff appears to carry some personal cache of his own, the Rae, Kennedy and eventually the Dion camps were all based on what their supports "preceived" their candidate to be and what they thought he represented.*   Understanding this fact will help us make sense of the Liberal party actions and events over the next few months.

Sidenote: Looking south, you have to think that the campaigns of Democrat Barak Obama and Republican Fred Thompson are based on the exact same phenomenom.  Obama's goose is already cooked, as Hillary Clinton is cruising to an early primary victory, however Freddy might still have an opportunity to earn his support thanks to Rudy's inability to pull away from the pack.
 
 
* - Say what you want about Joe Volpe, but his campaign was based on Joe Volpe.

 

People Wonder Why I'm A Determinist

Twenty-Four years ago, on September 26th, the world almost ended. 

Except for this guy being in the right place at the right time:

Stanislav Petrov was a Strategic Rocket Forces lieutenant colonel, the officer on duty at the Serpukhov-15 bunker near Moscow on September 26, 1983. Petrov's responsibilities included observing the satellite early warning network and notifying his superiors of any impending nuclear missile attack against the Soviet Union. In the event of such an attack, the Soviet Union's strategy was an immediate nuclear counter-attack against the United States, specified in the doctrine of Mutual Assured Destruction.

At 00:40 hrs, the bunker's computers identified a US missile heading toward the Soviet Union. Petrov considered the detection a computer error, since a United States first-strike nuclear attack would hypothetically involve hundreds if not thousands of simultaneous missile launches to disable any Soviet means for a counterattack. Furthermore, the satellite system's reliability had been questioned in the past. Petrov dismissed the warning as a false alarm, though accounts of the event differ as to whether he notified his superiors or not after he concluded that the computer detections were false and that the United States had not launched any missile. Later, the computers identified five additional missiles in the air, all directed towards the Soviet Union. Petrov once again concluded that the computer system was malfunctioning, despite there being no other source of information to confirm his suspicions. The Soviet Union's land radar was not capable of detecting missiles beyond the horizon and waiting for them to positively identify the threat would limit the Soviet Union's response time to mere minutes.

Should Petrov have disregarded a real attack, the Soviet Union would have been struck by several nuclear missiles. Had he reported the incoming American missiles, his superiors might have launched a catastrophic assault against their enemies, precipitating a corresponding nuclear response from the United States. Petrov trusted his intuition and declared the system's indications a false alarm. Later, it was apparent that his instincts were right: no missiles were approaching and the computer detection system was malfunctioning.

 

Tuesday, September 25

"Success demands governments who are willing to assume responsibilities, seek practical, do-able solutions to problems, and who have a voice and influence in global affairs because they lead, not by lecturing, but by example."

- Prime Minister Stephen Harper, September 25th, 2007
 
He's absolutely right. 

 

Wednesday, September 19

"They sort of look like if the Peanuts gang formed a band, and then brought in Animal to drum."

- the best description of The Arcade Fire ever (as described by a buddy who saw them down in Austin, TX not that long ago)

Absolutely A Great Choice

Paul Tuns on who he thinks helps Canada:

"One person often nominated and who deserves to be is Chief Clarence Louie, who is promoting economic development not reliance on the Indian Industry as the path for improving the lot of Canada's native population. He is making a real difference in (some) people's live and if his example were followed elsewhere across the country, Indians everywhere would benefit."


Every time I see or read something about Chief Louie, I get more and more impressed.  I would absolutely consider him on of the Top Ten Canadians Helping Canada.

 

Tuesday, September 18

"I don't like looking like an actual stripper. I'm going more for expensive call girl."

- Female Friend to The Hack this afternoon.

Wonder If It Impressed Her

Your headline of the day:
 
Georgia Man Dies After Armless Man Headbutts Him During Fight
 

"Dion watched Chrétien win for a decade and Martin lose for two years and decided Martin was the guy to imitate."

Gotta wonder how long Paul Wells was sitting on that gem of a line waiting for the perfect opportunity to drop it.... 
 
His solid take on last night is here.

Conservatve Seats In Quebec = 11....Liberal Seats In Quebec = 12

Gotta love Canadian politics, eh? Who would have called this situation even two years ago.

Following last night's by-elections my quickie thoughts are as such:

- All the talk about Liberal infighting being a myth is a myth itself. The Liberals have been second-guessing the Stephane Dion leadership choice since about five minutes after it became official last December. They will continue to do so.

- Betcha Dion wishes he had let Justin Trudeau run now, eh? And I feel for Dion because he was simply trying to get one of his people into a key position within the Quebec Liberal power structure. As we all know, that wing of the federal party runs rather independently and Dion never really had too many allies within it. Any leader needs his lieutenants and Jocelyn Coulon was likely to become Dion's man in Quebec.

Course, after last night, Dion really needs a few key men and women in Quebec.

- Paul Tuns: And for once what is bad for the Liberal Party is also bad for Canada. After winning only its second seat in Quebec (ever), NDP leader Jack Layton will believe his party has a chance in the province; the Harper Conservatives will likewise focus on extending their presence in Quebec; the Liberals will be desperate to regain their stature there. All this means that Quebec will be the center of Canadian politics for the foreseeable future. Again. Let the posturing and bidding commence.

I hear where Paul is coming from however I'm willing to extend a little more leeway to the Prime Minister to continue his Quebec Gambit. If his manoeuvres can enable the Conservative Party to entrench within the province somewhat - while maintaining pressure on the sovereignty movement which appears relatively unstable at the moment - than in the long run Canada will be better for this recent Quebec sojourn which appears to have some legitimate political victories behind it thus far.

Now granted, we have heard all of this before when it comes to Quebec politics, so take it with a grain of salt.

- Small Dead Animals:

Green Party: 2,197 (2.6%) combined vote in all three ridings

Comments: The last year of polling across Canada had the Green party at ~10%.

Kate: And that, ladies and gentlemen, is why Elizabeth May has no business being invited to a leader's debate.

The Hack: Damned right. Until the Greens prove the ability to translate protest vote into real votes, adding her adds nothing to the debates as currently structured. In fact, her addition only takes away from them by adding another participant requiring equal time.

- Finally, to recap, Calgary Grit:

Pretty impossible to spin this one. Huge wins for the Tories and Dippers. Pretty brutal nights for the Liberals and Bloc. I don't think anything else needs to be said.

No worries Dan. I'm pretty sure you'll be getting it back in the next election.

Monday, September 17

"He like, totally buzz killed me by doing that."

The report said that about 100 other Web surfers "left the cafe in fear after witnessing the man's death."
 

I'm Taking The Chickens Way Out

I'll call it one for the Tories tonight, one for the Bloc and one for the NDP (which they'll promptly lose back to the Liberals in the next fed election, but hey, Jack'll ride this one out for awhile).

Thursday, September 13

That's Not Going To Help Stephane

 
OTTAWA -- Federal bureaucrats questioned whether Canada could meet its Kyoto Accord commitments even before the Conservatives took power, according to a ministerial briefing obtained by Sun Media.
 
* * * * * * * *
 
One page raises the question, "Whether/when to acknowledge Canada will be very unlikely to meet target?"
 
* * * * * * * *
 
"Once again, the Liberals have been caught misleading Canadians," said environment minister John Baird's communications director Garry Keller. "This document clearly shows that in the dying days of the Liberal government they were fully aware that Canada had no chance of meeting our Kyoto targets."
 
* * * * * * * *
 
Dion says he was never given such advice. He suggested the report resulted from civil servants reading the Conservatives' criticisms of Kyoto and predicting it was no longer a priority .
 
 
If it is one thing any smart politician should be loath to do, it is suggest that the civil service isn't shooting straight.  They tend to stick up for themselves when provoked.

Many Beers Will Be Drank While Playing The Roaring Game

If you don't think I'll be renting Nintendo's Wii Curling, you'd be so sorely wrong. 

Wednesday, September 12

While I Was Sleeping

Did Gary Doer ever get around to a post-election cabinet shuffle?

For what is he waiting?

It'll expand again, right?  He doesn't like dropping people and there is at least three women needing to be added by my count.  And maybe Drew.

Help Decide My Concert Going

Velvet Revolver or Kanye West?

"More than anybody, the poor have a stake in quality public policy..."

Peter Holle of Winnipeg's Frontier Centre for Public Policy writes about how the lower class usually have more on the line when bad governance settles into a jurisdiction .  Like say Manitoba. 

I like this supposition, because it leads to a question I want to see asked over the next three or four years of NDP rule here....Can any of the poverty groups....Or better yet, can any of the lower class voters who always instinctively support the NDP claim that the last eight years of NDP policies have made their lives any better?  Has poverty declined in Manitoba?  If this is the party who looks out for the poor, how are they doing on that front?

Isn't it fair to be asking those questions at this point in the mandate?  Let's get a little empirical evidence on the table to support the NDP claim of poverty fighters.

PS: I like a lot of Peter Holle's policy papers, however I think I'm always going to be just a little biased against him ever since our conversation years ago where he blasted the investment into the Millennium Library project on the grounds that the need for books was going to be disappearing relatively soon as people move towards more and more reading online.

Ah, probably not.

PPS: Good on the Winnipeg Free Press for putting more and more content online.  I will read and link to your website when it isn't hiding behind subscriber walls.

Tuesday, September 11

Thank You Mr. Dion

I can only hope that your economics talk will force Prime Minister Game Theory into a more conservative fiscal position to avoid being out flanked.

"We will focus our tax cuts on the competitiveness of the country," Mr. Dion told reporters following a one-day Liberal Party conference focused on economic issues. "I will give the good incentives to create a good economic culture.

 

Monday, September 10

Coming Soon

Fall is upon us.  Evenings are cooler.  The Bombers have me shopping - though not yet buying - for Toronto Grey Cup arrangements.  I even joined a gym this weekend with the goal of reigning in the belly and go into my thirties with a fighting chance on remaining fit.

Seems like a good time to get the blog up and rolling again.  If anyone is wondering (or still visiting for the occasional update), I'm pretty much uninvolved with any politics at any level.  Still a Tory member, but unhappy with both levels and will be waiting for someone to show leadership and give me hope before getting involved at a heavy level again.

I plan to use the blog to propose various policies that I would like the parties to pursue.  Especially the provincial party.  There is a lot of rebuilding and strengthening that is needed and while I'm somewhat pessimistic on the chances of anything really changing, I figure I can't whine if I don't at least try to bring up some suggestions.

 

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